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Ryan Reynolds and Rob Mac told if Wrexham will win Championship promotion ahead of Birmingham City

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It has been an interesting start to the 2025/26 Championship season, not just for Wrexham.

In recent years, we have largely seen the parachute payment teams dominate the top-end of the division.

Leeds United and Burnley secured Championship promotion in 2024/25, with both cracking the 100-point barrier.

Sheffield United also made it into the play-off final before losing out to Sunderland.

But while it has only been four games, this season has started slightly differently.

Middlesbrough, who haven’t been in the Premier League since 2017, are top of the division and unbeaten in four, while West Brom and Stoke City are not far behind.

Position Team Played MP Won W Drawn D Lost L For GF Against GA Diff GD Points Pts
1 MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4 4 0 0 7 1 6 12
2 West BromWest Brom4 3 1 0 6 3 3 10
3 Stoke CityStoke City4 3 0 1 8 3 5 9
4 LeicesterLeicester4 3 0 1 6 3 3 9
5 CoventryCoventry4 2 2 0 14 6 8 8

The recently relegated teams not starting as well has led to chat that we could see some different names promoted this term, with Wrexham and Birmingham City’s chances discussed by one EFL pundit.

Sam Smith and Ryan Reynolds celebrate promotion following Wrexham AFC v Charlton Athletic FC in the Sky Bet League One clash.
Photo by Kya Banasko/Getty Images

Wrexham vs Birmingham City Championship promotion

Wrexham and Birmingham City battled it out in League One last season, securing the two automatic promotion places.

The Blues spent big last term and continued to add quality players to their squad in the most recent window.

Meanwhile, Wrexham paid out £33m in transfer fees this summer, which could creep up to the £40m mark with add-ons.

Now, Benjamin Bloom has been discussing which surprise names we could see in the Championship top two this season.

When doing so, he commented on Wrexham and the Blues, suggesting the Midlands outfit are more likely to go up.

He said: “Who’s most likely? Well, if you’re following the money, it’s Birmingham and Wrexham.

“Who could get in there? I would say Birmingham are the more likely of the two. Wrexham have started a little bit slower. And I don’t know, I just see Birmingham in terms of the pattern of play as well being a little step ahead of Wrexham so far. But I like Wrexham’s transfer window.”

Supercomputer predicts Wrexham Championship promotion chances

At present, neither Wrexham nor Birmingham are one of the clear promotion favourites according to Opta’s supercomputer.

The Red Dragons have a 2.10% chance of finishing inside the top two, with their most likely league position 17th.

As for Birmingham, they have been given a 7.34% chance of securing an automatic promotion spot.

They are expected to finish 11th in the Championship according to Opta’s model.